Confidence Intervals

Confidence intervals are used in statistics and represent a type of estimate computed from the observed data. This gives a range of values for an unknown parameter such as the parameters \( \boldsymbol{\beta} \) from linear regression.

With the OLS expressions for the parameters \( \boldsymbol{\beta} \) we found \( \mathbb{E}(\boldsymbol{\beta}) = \boldsymbol{\beta} \), which means that the estimator of the regression parameters is unbiased.

In the exercises this week we show that the variance of the estimate of the \( j \)-th regression coefficient is \( \boldsymbol{\sigma}^2 (\boldsymbol{\beta}_j ) = \boldsymbol{\sigma}^2 [(\mathbf{X}^{T} \mathbf{X})^{-1}]_{jj} \).

This quantity can be used to construct a confidence interval for the estimates.